Inferential Statistics
- Inferential Statistics – Definition, Types, Examples, Formulas
- Observational Studies and Experiments
- Sample and Population
- Sampling Bias
- Sampling Methods
- Research Study Design
- Population Distribution, Sample Distribution and Sampling Distribution
- Central Limit Theorem
- Point Estimates
- Confidence Intervals
- Introduction to Bootstrapping
- Bootstrap Confidence Interval
- Paired Samples
- Impact of Sample Size on Confidence Intervals
- Introduction to Hypothesis Testing
- Writing Hypotheses
- Hypotheses Test Examples
- Randomization Procedures
- p-values
- Type I and Type II Errors
- P-value Significance Level
- Issues with Multiple Testing
- Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Testing
- Inference for One Sample
- Inference for Two Samples
- One-Way ANOVA
- Two-Way ANOVA
- Chi-Square Tests
One-Way ANOVA
ANOVA, which stands for Analysis of Variance, is a statistical test used to analyze the difference between the means of more than two groups.
A one-way ANOVA uses one independent variable, while a two-way ANOVA uses two independent variables.
In previous articles you learned how to compare the means of two independent groups. In this tutorial, we will learn how to compare the means of more than two independent groups. This procedure is known as a one-way between groups analysis of variance, or more often as a “one-way ANOVA.”
Why not multiple independent t-tests instead of Anova?
Multiple independent t-tests can be used to compare the means of two groups, but it is not recommended to use them when comparing the means of three or more groups for several reasons:
- Increased risk of Type I error: Conducting multiple independent t-tests increases the risk of Type I error, which occurs when the null hypothesis is rejected when it is actually true. This means that there is an increased chance of finding a significant difference between the means of the groups, even if there is no real difference.
- Increased probability of false positive results: The more t-tests that are conducted, the more likely it is to find at least one significant result by chance, leading to false positive results.
- Reduced statistical power: Multiple t-tests require a larger sample size to achieve the same level of statistical power as a single one-way ANOVA. This is because each t-test is based on a smaller sample size, which reduces the sensitivity of the test.
- Difficulty in interpreting results: When multiple t-tests are conducted, it can be difficult to interpret the results and draw overall conclusions about the differences between the groups. One-way ANOVA provides a single test statistic that summarizes the differences between the groups, making it easier to interpret the results.
Therefore, one-way ANOVA is a more appropriate statistical test than multiple independent t-tests when comparing the means of three or more groups. If you were to perform multiple independent t-tests instead of a one-way between groups ANOVA you would need to perform more tests.
If you have k independent groups, the total number of possible pairwise combinations between the groups is k choose 2 (kC2), which can be calculated using the following formula:
kC2 = k! / (2!(k-2)!)
For example, if you have 4 independent groups, the number of possible pairwise combinations would be:
4C2 = 4! / (2!(4-2)!) = 6
By using an ANOVA, you avoid inflating α and you avoid increasing the likelihood of a Type I error.
When to use a one-way ANOVA
It is used when there are more than two groups, and you want to determine whether there is a significant difference between the means of those groups.
One-way ANOVA is appropriate when the following conditions are met:
- The dependent variable is continuous.
- The independent variable has three or more levels (groups).
- The observations are independent and come from normal distributions.
- Homogeneity of variance: The variances of the dependent variable are equal across all levels of the independent variable.
If these conditions are met, one-way ANOVA can be used to test whether there is a significant difference between the means of the groups. If the test is significant, post-hoc tests can be used to identify which groups differ significantly from each other.
How does an ANOVA test work?
By now we know that, the basic idea behind an ANOVA test is to compare the variance between the groups with the variance within the groups.
The ANOVA test works by calculating an F-statistic, which compares the ratio of the variance between the groups to the variance within the groups. If the ratio is large enough, it indicates that the variation between the groups is significant and not just due to chance.
Here are the basic steps involved in performing an ANOVA test:
- Set up the null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis states that there is no significant difference between the means of the groups, while the alternative hypothesis states that there is a significant difference between the means of the groups.
- Collect data from the different groups and calculate the sample means and sample variances for each group.
- Calculate the between-group variance (variation between the means of the groups) and the within-group variance (variation within each group).
- Calculate the F-statistic, which is the ratio of the between-group variance to the within-group variance.
- Determine the p-value associated with the F-statistic, and compare it to a predetermined significance level (usually 0.05 or 0.01).
- If the p-value is less than the significance level, reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is a significant difference between the means of the groups.
- If the p-value is greater than the significance level, fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is not enough evidence to support a significant difference between the means of the groups.
If the ANOVA test is significant, additional post-hoc tests can be conducted to determine which groups differ significantly from each other.
Assumptions of ANOVA
The assumptions of ANOVA (analysis of variance) include:
- Independence: The observations within each group must be independent of each other. This means that the value of one observation should not be related to the value of another observation in the same group.
- Normality: The dependent variable should be normally distributed within each group. This means that the distribution of the values should be symmetrical and bell-shaped.
- Homogeneity of variance: The variance of the dependent variable should be equal across all levels of the independent variable. This means that the spread of the values should be the same for each group.
- Random sampling: The observations in each group should be randomly selected from the population.
If these assumptions are not met, the results of the ANOVA test may not be valid. In some cases, it may be possible to transform the data to meet the assumptions, or to use a non-parametric alternative to ANOVA, such as the Kruskal-Wallis test. It is important to assess the assumptions before conducting an ANOVA test and to use appropriate methods to address violations of the assumptions if necessary.